nicodeux
Farmer
Today was the first day of Trout Derby and it was another demonstration of how unlucky I am with RNG.
I was aiming for the Mounted Trout. There are 10 items in the reward items pool, so I needed 10 golden tags at most. And even less if I was lucky with the first item picked in the item pool being the Mounted Trout itself or close to it.
With a probability of 33% for a golden tag per rainbow trout, I could expect to have the required amount with around 30 trouts caught.
Unsurprisingly, I only got 4 golden tags on the first day with more than 40 rainbow trouts caught. That's a 10% probability of golden tag instead of the 33% one...
But it got even "better".
When I went for the rewards with my only 4 golden tags, the first item picked in the pool of reward items was... Deluxe Bait x20! How lucky: the first item right after the Mounted Trout in the list, meaning that I needed to find the max amount of golden tags to be able to loop through all the reward items pool, until I get the Mounted Trout.
When it comes to RNG, "lucky" is not a word for me...
I was aiming for the Mounted Trout. There are 10 items in the reward items pool, so I needed 10 golden tags at most. And even less if I was lucky with the first item picked in the item pool being the Mounted Trout itself or close to it.
With a probability of 33% for a golden tag per rainbow trout, I could expect to have the required amount with around 30 trouts caught.
Unsurprisingly, I only got 4 golden tags on the first day with more than 40 rainbow trouts caught. That's a 10% probability of golden tag instead of the 33% one...
But it got even "better".
When I went for the rewards with my only 4 golden tags, the first item picked in the pool of reward items was... Deluxe Bait x20! How lucky: the first item right after the Mounted Trout in the list, meaning that I needed to find the max amount of golden tags to be able to loop through all the reward items pool, until I get the Mounted Trout.
When it comes to RNG, "lucky" is not a word for me...


Got the last needed friendship at Winter 27, so I went to Fizz the next day and bought the last three percent. Me and my sweet pretender climbed up the Summit at Spring 1 Year 7. He was quite impressed and lost some kind words about it. So, let's see, what's next. Plant the Garden and wait for a golden Egg. 
. It didn't even bite until the trout soup buff wore off. I'm not good enough to catch it at lvl 10 fishing it seems, even with trap bobber and deluxe bait. Other people who have done that must be built different.