nicodeux
Farmer
Today was the first day of Trout Derby and it was another demonstration of how unlucky I am with RNG.
I was aiming for the Mounted Trout. There are 10 items in the reward items pool, so I needed 10 golden tags at most. And even less if I was lucky with the first item picked in the item pool being the Mounted Trout itself or close to it.
With a probability of 33% for a golden tag per rainbow trout, I could expect to have the required amount with around 30 trouts caught.
Unsurprisingly, I only got 4 golden tags on the first day with more than 40 rainbow trouts caught. That's a 10% probability of golden tag instead of the 33% one...
But it got even "better".
When I went for the rewards with my only 4 golden tags, the first item picked in the pool of reward items was... Deluxe Bait x20! How lucky: the first item right after the Mounted Trout in the list, meaning that I needed to find the max amount of golden tags to be able to loop through all the reward items pool, until I get the Mounted Trout.
When it comes to RNG, "lucky" is not a word for me...
I was aiming for the Mounted Trout. There are 10 items in the reward items pool, so I needed 10 golden tags at most. And even less if I was lucky with the first item picked in the item pool being the Mounted Trout itself or close to it.
With a probability of 33% for a golden tag per rainbow trout, I could expect to have the required amount with around 30 trouts caught.
Unsurprisingly, I only got 4 golden tags on the first day with more than 40 rainbow trouts caught. That's a 10% probability of golden tag instead of the 33% one...
But it got even "better".
When I went for the rewards with my only 4 golden tags, the first item picked in the pool of reward items was... Deluxe Bait x20! How lucky: the first item right after the Mounted Trout in the list, meaning that I needed to find the max amount of golden tags to be able to loop through all the reward items pool, until I get the Mounted Trout.
When it comes to RNG, "lucky" is not a word for me...